1. 美联储四年来首次降息
+以下为 CNBC 报道：
+WASHINGTON – The Federal Reserve on Wednesday enacted its first interest rate cut since the early days of the + Covid pandemic, slicing half a percentage point off benchmark rates in an effort to head off a slowdown in the + labor market.
+“We’re trying to achieve a situation where we restore price stability without the kind of painful + increase in unemployment that has come sometimes with this inflation. That’s what we’re trying to + do, and I think you could take today’s action as a sign of our strong commitment to achieve that goal,” Chair + Jerome Powell said at a news conference following the decision.
+The decision comes despite most economic indicators looking fairly solid.
+Gross domestic product has been rising steadily, and the Atlanta Fed is tracking 3% growth in the third quarter + based on continuing strength in consumer spending. Moreover, the Fed chose to cut even though most gauges + indicate inflation well ahead of the central bank’s 2% target. The Fed’s preferred measure shows inflation + running around 2.5%, well below its peak but still higher than policymakers would like.
+However, Powell and other policymakers in recent days have expressed concern about the labor + market. While layoffs have shown little sign of rebounding, hiring has slowed significantly. In + fact, the last time the monthly hiring rate was this low – 3.5% as a share of the labor force – the unemployment + rate was above 6%.
+以下为美联社报道： +
+The rate cut, the Fed’s first in more than four years, reflects its new focus on bolstering the job + market, which has shown clear signs of slowing. Coming just weeks before the presidential election, + the Fed’s move also has the potential to scramble the economic landscape just as Americans prepare to + vote.
+所以综上所述:
+-
+
- 确实有政治意图 +
- 但更多的是为了刺激就业市场 +
- FDR (美联储) 的主席 Jerome Powell + 是共和党人，在临近大选这个时候强调通货膨胀得到改善，显然不是为了自己党派的利益 +
2. 美国的经济可持续发展性
+
这是美国的国债曲线。
+Economists at the Penn Wharton Budget Model estimate that financial markets cannot sustain more than twenty + additional years of deficits. At that point, they argue, no amount of tax increases or spending cuts would + suffice to avert a devastating default. “The debt doesn’t matter until it does,” says Maya MacGuineas, president + of the bipartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. “By taking advantage of our privileged position in + the global economy, we may well lose it.”
+所以经济学家认为找其他国家借钱顶多借20年。
+