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Here's an interesting synth fail, unrelated to craftsmanship issues. In this case it's a durability issue, and I wasn't watching closely but I assume if you use manipulation while still under the effects of the previous manipulation, you don't actually get the +10 to durability?
Level 39 recipe Woolen Sash, level 41 weaver with 206 craft 211 control and 289 cp.
Seed: 174171, Use Conditions: false
Monte Carlo Example
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# Action DUR CP QUA PRG IQ WWYW CTL QINC BPRG BQUA WAC Cond S/F
0 80 289 0 0 0 0 211 0 0 0 0 Normal 0
1 Steady Hand II 80 264 0 0 0 0 211 0 0 0 0 Normal 1
2 Basic Synthesis 70 264 0 50 0 0 211 0 50 0 0 Normal 1
3 Basic Synthesis 60 264 0 100 0 0 211 0 50 0 0 Normal 1
4 Inner Quiet 60 246 0 100 0 0 211 0 0 0 0 Normal 1
5 Manipulation 60 158 0 100 0 0 211 0 0 0 0 Normal 1
6 Hasty Touch 60 158 0 100 0 0 211 0 0 110 0 Normal 0
7 Hasty Touch 60 158 0 100 0 0 211 0 0 110 0 Normal 0
8 Manipulation 70 70 0 100 0 0 211 0 0 0 0 Normal 1
9 Steady Hand II 80 45 0 100 0 0 211 0 0 0 0 Normal 1
10 Hasty Touch 80 45 110 100 1 0 211 110 0 110 0 Normal 1
11 Hasty Touch 80 45 235 100 2 0 253 125 0 125 0 Normal 1
12 Hasty Touch 70 45 376 100 3 0 295 141 0 141 0 Normal 1
13 Hasty Touch 60 45 533 100 4 0 338 157 0 157 0 Normal 1
14 Hasty Touch 50 45 706 100 5 0 380 173 0 173 0 Normal 1
15 Steady Hand II 50 20 706 100 5 0 422 0 0 0 0 Normal 1
16 Hasty Touch 40 20 895 100 6 0 422 189 0 189 0 Normal 1
17 Hasty Touch 30 20 1100 100 7 0 464 205 0 205 0 Normal 1
18 Hasty Touch 20 20 1321 100 8 0 506 221 0 221 0 Normal 1
19 Hasty Touch 10 20 1558 100 9 0 549 237 0 237 0 Normal 1
20 Basic Synthesis 0 20 1558 150 9 0 591 0 50 0 0 Normal 1
Progress Check: true, Durability Check: true, CP Check: true, Tricks Check: true, Reliability Check: true, Cross Class Skills: 3, Wasted Actions: 0
Monte Carlo Result of 1000 runs
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DUR CP QUA PRG HQ%
## Expected Value: 0 20 1439.1 150.0 49.4
## Median Value: 0 20 1558.0 150.0 63.0
## Min Value: 0 20 376.0 150.0 5.0
## Success Rate: 100.0 %
[8:27 a.m.]You begin synthesizing a woolen sash.
[8:27 a.m.]You remove the following from your bag:
[8:27 a.m.]5 lightning shards
[8:27 a.m.]4 wind shards
[8:27 a.m.]1 bolt of undyed woolen cloth
[8:27 a.m.]2 bolts of undyed woolen cloth
[8:27 a.m.]1 spindle of woolen yarn
[8:27 a.m.]You use Steady Hand II.
[8:27 a.m.] You gain the effect of Steady Hand II.
[8:27 a.m.]You use Basic Synthesis Success!
[8:27 a.m.] Progress increases by 50.
[8:27 a.m.] Durability decreases by 10.
[8:27 a.m.]You use Basic Synthesis Success!
[8:27 a.m.] Progress increases by 50.
[8:27 a.m.] Durability decreases by 10.
[8:27 a.m.]You use Inner Quiet.
[8:27 a.m.] You gain the effect of Inner Quiet.
[8:27 a.m.]You use Manipulation.
[8:27 a.m.] You gain the effect of Manipulation.
[8:27 a.m.]You gain the effect of Inner Quiet.
[8:27 a.m.]You use Hasty Touch Success!
[8:27 a.m.] Quality increases by 110.
[8:27 a.m.] Durability decreases by 10.
[8:27 a.m.]You lose the effect of Steady Hand II.
[8:27 a.m.]You use Hasty Touch Failure!
[8:27 a.m.] Durability decreases by 10.
[8:27 a.m.]You use Manipulation.
[8:27 a.m.] You gain the effect of Manipulation.
[8:27 a.m.]You use Steady Hand II.
[8:27 a.m.] You gain the effect of Steady Hand II.
[8:27 a.m.]You gain the effect of Inner Quiet.
[8:27 a.m.]You use Hasty Touch Success!
[8:27 a.m.] Quality increases by 125.
[8:27 a.m.] Durability decreases by 10.
[8:27 a.m.]You gain the effect of Inner Quiet.
[8:27 a.m.]You use Hasty Touch Success!
[8:27 a.m.] Quality increases by 212.
[8:27 a.m.] Durability decreases by 10.
[8:27 a.m.]You lose the effect of Manipulation.
[8:28 a.m.]You use Hasty Touch Failure!
[8:28 a.m.] Durability decreases by 10.
[8:28 a.m.]You gain the effect of Inner Quiet.
[8:28 a.m.]You use Hasty Touch Success!
[8:28 a.m.] Quality increases by 235.
[8:28 a.m.] Durability decreases by 10.
[8:28 a.m.]You use Hasty Touch Failure!
[8:28 a.m.] Durability decreases by 10.
[8:28 a.m.]You lose the effect of Steady Hand II.
[8:28 a.m.]You use Steady Hand II.
[8:28 a.m.] You gain the effect of Steady Hand II.
[8:28 a.m.]You use Hasty Touch Failure!
[8:28 a.m.] Durability decreases by 10.
[8:28 a.m.]You gain the effect of Inner Quiet.
[8:28 a.m.]You use Hasty Touch Success!
[8:28 a.m.] Quality increases by 172.
[8:28 a.m.] Durability decreases by 10.
[8:28 a.m.]You gain the effect of Inner Quiet.
[8:28 a.m.]You use Hasty Touch Success!
[8:28 a.m.] Quality increases by 189.
[8:28 a.m.] Durability decreases by 10.
[8:28 a.m.]You gain the effect of Inner Quiet.
[8:28 a.m.]You use Hasty Touch Success!
[8:28 a.m.] Quality increases by 205.
[8:28 a.m.] Durability decreases by 10.
[8:28 a.m.]Your synthesis fails!
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